THE SCIENCE oF GLOBAL WARMING:
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For example the scientific consensus is that for the last few centuries there has been widespread evidence of some climate warming and it is also clear that some molecular forms like the well publicised greenhouse gases of carbon dioxide and methane may well help the atmosphere trap heat. Since our main source of heat is solar, it matters that through the centuries the Sun has not been a completely stable heat source. Nevertheless, in plain English, changes in the output of the sun modified by a range of other factors including cosmic ray exposure, may well have caused some or even most of the most recent extremes of climate change. In the very short term she may well be hard to refute. This may help explain then what happened from the middle of the 17th century to the early 18th century, when the solar energy input to our atmosphere, as indicated by the number of sunspots recorded, was at a minimum and the planet was stuck in the Little Ice Age. A clearer understanding of these extremes might even be a little comforting. We might also remember in passing that the best possible current models also predicted a mild winter for the US, Europe and the UK for the 2009-2010 winter.
Although for what it is worth, I personally would not accept that and come down on the side of those who accept the IPCC reported measurements as the best indications we can have of what we appear to know, yet I would have thought the new improvements in the measurement system as a whole are simply too recent to be talking with certainty about the significance of much of the data as indications of a long term trend. It must be stressed however that there is no excuse for ignoring the general warming trend of the last few decades. His letters included: "My own personal belief is that we should wait another 10 or 20 years to really be convinced that the greenhouse effect is going to be important for human beings, in both positive and negative ways." And in case there was any misunderstanding "… Now the graphing of ice cover is better established there is another difficulty for the "warmist" camp in that as at the beginning of April 2010 not only had the graph for the Arctic sea now shown a return to so called normal cover - but the other six main ocean ice areas in the Northern hemisphere all showed a greater ice cover than had been the case in previous years.
For example the IPCC reset its ocean rise models based on results from a tidal gauge off Hong Kong, yet at the same time satellite measurements showed a much smaller increase. When it was discovered that much of the data on the graph had been generated from looking at the tree rings from a single ancient bristlecone tree and it was pointed out that such tree rings being affected by soil nutrients, wet and dry growing seasons and a host of other factors are notoriously unreliable as a single measure of temperature variation, support for the graph subsided to a somewhat embarrassed silence. Eventually Mann’s insistence that one of his frequent critics Lawrence Solomon was a liar, needled Solomon so much that he followed it up and discovered, then publicised, that both Dr Gerald North (chairman of the NAS panel on Mann’s work) and panel member Peter Bloomfield had admitted under oath to the Senate House Committee on Energy and Commerce Committee, that they had agreed with the criticisms of Mann’s work. DONOVAN, James b. here 1856, son of John & Catherine (HANNAN). STEFFENS, John H. (Caroline R.) 3 ch farmer O 40a 2h 21c R5 Wauseon Fre 24 Ind tel.
SWARY, Lyman (Nora) 2 ch farmer T 65a 3h 2c Rl New Bavaria Ple 73 Ind tel. SPAFFORD, L. V. (Fanny) 1 ch teaming O H&L 2h RD Napoleon Nap Ind tel. SNYDER, Wm. H. (Ruth) 2 ch farmer T 130a 5h 18c R7 Napoleon Nap 82 Ind tel. SONNENBERG, Herman (Henrietta) 1 ch farmer O 20a 4h 10c Rl Malinta Rhfd 27 Ind tel. SPANGLER, M. M. (Julia) asst mgr Malinta Grain & Supply Co O H&L Malinta Ind tel. SPANGLER, Levi farmer RD Deshler Bar. SPANGLER, J. W. 7 ch farmer O 40a 7h 5c R1 McClure Rhfd 33 Ind tel. SPANGLER, What is 3c billiards Dan farmer O 40a 2h R2 Napoleon Fre 70 Ind tel. SPIESS, Dan (Mary) 5 ch farmer T 40a 3h R4 Napoleon Fre 9 Ind tel. SONNENBERG, Chas. F (Minnie) 2 ch farmer & breeder of Holstein cattle O 90a 6h 10c R7 Napoleon Fre 41 Ind tel. SPANGLER, Roy farmer 3h bds R1 McClure Rhfd 33 Ind tel.
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